Upcoming Balance Update

5/3/2021 10:10:53 PM

Thank all of you who responded to Rini’s survey from April 27th! We plan on live updating some balance changes based on your responses as well as data we’ve collected over the last couple weeks. The update is scheduled to go live May 4th. Before that, we want to delve a bit into the cards that were mentioned in the survey that we’re NOT planning on touching at this time.


Before I get into that, I want to briefly go over our methodology for collecting and analyzing data: the primary metric we collect is the win/loss record for every card in played decks. This is collated by the game mode and ladder tier (for ranked games). For the purposes of analysis, we primarily look at Mythril and above Ranked games, but we also examine stats for all ranks and game modes to sanity check. The number of times a card is included in a particular deck isn’t measured. Generated cards (AKA tokens) don’t count. Whether or not a card is played during the game is also not considered - this is an attempt to account for the fact that there are many cards that are primarily played situationally. In doing so, we assume that players in high-tier ranked games will intelligently curate their decks over time. 


Furthermore, we only consider data for which we have enough samples, and correlate winrate against the overall winrate for the color as well as other cards in that color. Finally, it’s worth noting that we don’t only consider winrate - we also consider the overall character of the card, whether or not it tends to bog down the game, how “unfun” it is to play against, etc.


Okay, so what about the cards that people brought up in the survey that we decided NOT to alter this round? Here they are:


Card

WR*

Note

Fires of Creation

50.0


Allfather's Horn

48.5


Armageddon Angel

46.6


Bald Mountain

56.3

Indirect nerf, watchlist

Bastard of Autolycus

51.7


Black Hatter

43.7


Born Again

46.8


Demolition Speedway

52.0


Freki Sidecar

52.2


Giant's Stairway

49.0


Grit Instructor

52.7


Guise of Phobos

51.8


HarpyOne

50.7


Hopeless Necromantic

47.9


Ichor Feast

50.2


Instabeast

53.0

Watchlist

Jin-Sook, Dollmaster

42.4


Kara Mourningwives

50.6


Lookie

46.4


Magnus Thorsson

50.4


Merciless Koxinga

52.2


Miasma Catalyst

-

Insufficient data

Misanthropia

48.0


Misfortune

-

Insufficient data

Morbid Centrifuge

33.3


Perfect Grade

50.1


Rune of Denial

34.8


Sapo the Devourer

49.6


Scylla of Dire Strait

52.4


Sea Lord's Trident

50.7


Serpent Den

30.4


Seven Ring Ritual

52.5


Shinobi of Chains

-

Insufficient data

Slantstone

-

Insufficient data

Sunken Acolyte

50.2


Traitorous Murmur

52.4

Survey was inconclusive, recently nerfed

Typhoon-class Hydropolis

48.1


Ved'ma Helicarrier

52.0

Indirect nerf

Vestai Virago

51.5


War Documentarian

47.1


Whitemoon Arena

-

Insufficient data

Wings of Abaddon

52.0


Wry Trickster

44.3


Yara from Arawaka

49.9



* Ranked Ladder, Mythic+, Last 7 days